never rat on your friends, and always keep your mouth shut

Thursday, December 29, 2005

new old kind of science

i already published this sentiment in andy's post as a comment but i want to reiterate it: i'm fine with having RBIs return (this is like reactionary ffball -- like how after WWI people basically were like, america is never fighting in a european war again). i know it's not sabermetric, but RBIs are fuxoring the only good indicator of how many people scored after your hits. also, i'm still sore about basically having to cut pat burrell in september last year because RBIs didn't count. i'd rather have RBI be the anti-sabermetric dinosaur stat instead of HRs. i'm sick of having HRs as a stat. if hits count, SLG% or AVG or OBP or OPS count, or if Total Bases count, there's no reason to have HRs as a stat. it's silly and it overvalues guys who are already valued pretty highly.

stats i think we should look at:
for batters
Total Bases
RBI
Hits
Stolen bases
some two out of SLG, OB% OPS

my wildcard throwaway: K/AB as a negative stat for batters

for pitchers
K
BB
Losses
Saves
WHIP
ERA

wildcard stats: Earned Runs as a neg counting stat. K/9 IP. Having IP as the counting stat that replaces Wins -- because, if you think about it, they're related. Earned Runs could be an option. I'd like to make relief pitchers, all of them, slightly more valuable, and i think ER might help with that. with this system, you can devise a way that you might be able to field a decent pitching lineup with only one or two "ace" starters.

i have a spreadsheet that i made with all of the scoring from my other league already typed in, at least for the 200some hitters and 100some pitchers from that league. there's no way to import that sheet into our league's scoring system, but if anyone wants to mess around with it, i will e-mail it to them. short version of what it showed is that in a league where your IP are important, Brandon Webb is the 18th best starter in baseball. and that chipper jones, when he played last year, was a tank. and for reference, this league was on yahoo, so you can do stats like this in a free league.

top hitters by [ Hits + 1.66*(TB) + 2(BB + HBP) + SB - "Outs'] (outs = AB-H+CS)
LEE, Derrek CHN 638.4
RODRIGUEZ, Alex NYY 626.5
PUJOLS, Albert STL 622.6
ORTIZ, David BOS 566.6
BAY, Jason PIT 533.1
TEIXIERA, Mark TEX 528.2
HELTON, Todd COL 501.5
RAMIREZ, Manny BOS 497.1
CABRERA, Miguel FLA 483
DELGADO, Carlos FLA 474
YOUNG, Mike TEX 468.4
ABREU, B PHI 467.1
HAFNER, T CLE 465.7
THOME, J (2004) PHI 465.7
GILES, Brian SD 465.6
ROLEN, Scott (2004) STL 455.3
GUERRERO, Vladimir ANA 448
DUNN, Adam CIN 447.1
JONES, Andruw ATL 441.4
GIAMBI, Jason NYY 433.2
WRIGHT, D NYM 430.7
ENSBERG, Morgan HOU 427.4
JETER, D NYY 423
KONERKO, Paul CHA 422.6
BURRELL, Pat PHI 421.8
ROBERTS, Brian BAL 421.7



top pitchers by [Saves + K - BB - HBP + 2.75*IP - 4.5*ER)

CLEMENS Roger
503.1
SANTANA, Johan MIN 496.2
CARPENTER Chris
481.7
PETTITTE A HOU 472.8
MARTINEZ, Pedro NYM 447.8
OSWALT R
437.2
PEAVY, Jake SD 424.8
HARDEN, Rich OAK 414.5
WILLIS, Dontrelle FLA 401.3
SMOLTZ, J ATL 395.7
BUEHRLE, Mark CWS 386.9
ZAMBRANO, Carlos CHN 356.8
PATTERSON, John WAS 349.8
JOHNSON, Randy NYY 345.2
MILLWOOD, K CLE 343.5
COLON, Bartolo ANA 336.4
WEBB, B ARI 335.8
LACKEY John
331.8
BURNETT AJ
326.8
MYERS, Brett PHI 320.6
HALLADAY, Roy TOR 301.7
LOAIZA, E WAS 300.3
LOWE, Derek
296.0
DAVIS Doug
295.9

No comments: